Bioeconomy Strategies for Energy Security: Building Resilience under Global Uncertainty

Abstract

Recent oil price volatility and geopolitical uncertainty highlight the need for more resilient energy production models. This study examines the bioeconomy as a strategic framework to address instability in global energy and material supply chains. Historical and recent oil crises demonstrate how fluctuations in fuel markets disrupt industrial competitiveness, particularly in energy-intensive sectors, while propagating impacts across downstream value chains. The bioeconomy offers an alternative pathway through the valorization of biobased resources. Current estimates place its contribution at approximately 3.5 to 4% of global gross domestic product (GDP), with significant growth projected by 2050. However, expansion remains constrained by challenges related to technological scale-up, regulatory fragmentation, investment risk, and limited standardization. Regional analysis reveals heterogeneous development patterns, with strong potential in resource-rich regions such as Latin America to promote localized value creation and reduce external dependencies. Key strategic priorities include strengthening regional value chains, advancing scalable biorefinery platforms, improving regulatory coherence, and expanding investment frameworks. These measures position the bioeconomy as a critical component for enhancing energy security, increasing industrial resilience, and supporting sustainable economic development in conditions of global uncertainty.